UK enters deflation for first time since 1960
Figures out today from the Office for National Statistics (ONS) have revealed that the UK has fallen into deflation for the first time since 1960.
A short period of deflation (where prices fall rather than increase) could be a serious threat to the economy because it deters consumers and businesses from spending in expectation of falling prices.
The RPI (Retail Price Index) measure of inflation hit negative territory in March to -0.4%, down from 0% the previous month.
RPI includes mortgage costs, which have fallen following aggressive cuts in interest rates by the Bank of England.
In the meantime, CPI (Consumer Price Index) inflation, also tumbled from 3.2% to 2.9% and is expected to fall in the next few months.
While the CPI figure still exceeds the Government’s target of 2%, forecasts by the Bank of England suggest that CPI inflation will fall near to the zero mark and stay at that rate. Analysts also believe RPI has much further to fall.
Last year, inflation surged to a 16-year high as oil prices escalated, however, further cuts in energy prices will have on impact on this month‘s figures, according to analysts.
As well as housing costs, RPI inflation is used as a benchmark for UK wage deals but TUC general secretary, Brendan Barber, warned that the negative figure should not mean pay increases are put on hold or take cuts in wages to save jobs. Mr Barber told the BBC: “Many companies are still profitable and able to afford decent pay rises.”
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