October achieves seasonal rise in mortgage lending
The Council of Mortgage Lenders (CML) has estimated October’s gross mortgage lending at £13.5 billion.
The figure is up 5% from £12.9 billion in September but shows a 27% decline on October of last year.
The Council, which represents 98% of the UK’s residential mortgage lenders, says the rise represents typical seasonal activity between September and October, adding that it expects the annual comparison to improve in the coming months, given “lending volumes dropped sharply in the latter part of 2008 and early 2009″.
In the meantime, last month’s figure is in line with the Council’s revised forecast of around £141 billion in gross mortgage lending for the whole of 2009.
October remortgaging trends were unchanged, as borrowers coming off fixed-rate deals opted for their lenders’ relatively attractive standard variable rates.
CML economist Paul Samter observes: “The coming months are likely to be dominated by seasonal factors rather than underlying change.”
Earlier this month, the Council cut its forecast for the number of repossessions in 2009 to 48,000.
The estimate was substantially down on earlier forecasts of 75,000 in 2008 and 65,000 in June of this year, and the body said the improvement reflects “lender forbearance, government measures and the beneficial effect of continuing low interest rates”.
Visited 1860 times, 3 so far today

Comments (0)
Trackback URL | Comments RSS Feed
There are no comments yet. Why not be the first to speak your mind.