UK manufacturers warn recovery will be slow
Industry body, the EEF, has warned that UK manufacturers believe it will be 2011 before the industry returns to pre-recession levels.
It was recently announced that manufacturing output remained flat for a second consecutive month in November.
On an annual basis, manufacturing output declined by 5.4%, according to the Office for National Statistics (ONS).
The recession-hit sector has been struggling to see a recovery after a poor performance last year and it will only see a modest recovery this year, according to the EEF.
However, the EEF believes that the UK economy as a whole faces uncertainty.
Lee Hopley, the EEF’s chief economist, comments: “Last year was a record year for all the wrong reasons and the outlook for the UK economy this year is far from certain, with little momentum behind a recovery until the latter part of the year.
“While a stronger global economy and weaker exchange [rate] should help pull the UK back to growth, benefiting manufacturers in particular, things could still go wrong,” he added.
Meanwhile, the EEF’s survey of sentiment found manufacturing firms expect production to expand by an average of 1.2% this year, growing to 3.4% in 2011.
Yesterday, the ONS said UK industrial production rose in November. The official data showed that output rose by 0.4% in November compared with October and was slightly higher than analysts expectations of a 0.3% rise.
Meanwhile, leading economic think tank, the National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR), believes the UK economy exited recession in the fourth quarter of 2009 and has experienced growth of 0.3%.
The prediction echoes many other reports forecasting that the economy has finally emerged from its worst recession in decades.
The UK economy, which has now contracted for six consecutive quarters, has been lagging behind other economies and is now the last major economy that is still in recession.
Official figures on 26 January will confirm whether the economy saw positive growth in the fourth quarter.
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