UK service sector recovers after snowy January

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The UK’s closely-watched service sector recovered in February after experiencing a dip in January as a result of bad weather disrupting services, as well as the VAT rise.

The latest activity index from the Chartered Institute of Purchasing and Supply (CIPS)/Markit PMI showed a reading of 58.4 in February, up from 54.5 in January.

Any reading above 50 indicates growth and February‘s figure was well above analysts expectations of 54.9.

The figures arrive just a few days after the CIPS/Markit manufacturing purchasing managers’ index (PMI) revealed UK manufacturing activity grew faster than expected in February – sustaining the previous month’s 15-year high rate of growth.

Both sets of figures will boost hopes that the economic recovery is gathering pace after last week’s fourth quarter GDP figures were revised upwards.

According to Vicky Redwood of Capital Economics, “At the very least the survey will ease concerns that the economy may have fallen back into recession this quarter.”

Meanwhile, Paul Smith of Markit, comments: “The latest data confirms that the underlying trend in the private service sector remains positive and is on course to deliver a quarterly expansion above 1% in the first quarter.”

Many analysts believe today’s figures will lead the Monetary Policy Committee to leave its quantitative easing programme and interest rates on hold tomorrow.

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