Bank of England to publish inflation and growth forecasts

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The Bank of England is today scheduled to publish its quarterly inflation report and is expected to raise its inflation forecast but lower its economic growth prediction.

The Bank’s Governor, Mervyn King, is expected to highlight that the decision to hike VAT to 20% next year will undoubtedly keep inflation higher.

In its last quarterly update, the Bank predicted growth of 3.5% in 2011 and forecast inflation to fall below its 2% target next year.

Consumer Price Inflation (CPI) currently stands at 3.2% and is way above the 2% target.

In the meantime, the Bank forecast growth of about 1.5% this year and growth of 3.4% in 2011 but this was seen as optimistic by many economists.

David Page, economist at Investec, said: “We expect to see growth forecasts nudged down gently… officially recognising the greater fiscal tightening. However, inflation has proven more persistent in the short-term and the announced increase in VAT in January will likely keep CPI above target for much of 2011.”

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