Tag: forecast

CIPD revise growth and unemployment forecasts

CIPD revise growth and unemployment forecasts

The Chartered Institute of Personnel and Development (CIPD) has today provided an assessment for the UK economy. It has revised its growth forecasts to 1.4% for the 2011 year, down from its previous estimate of 1.6%. The estimate is roughly in line with other forecasts after the International Monetary Fund recently said the UK economy [...]

UK unemployment rate holds steady at 7.7%

UK unemployment rate holds steady at 7.7%

The Office for National Statistics (ONS) has today revealed UK unemployment fell further in the three months to May. The ONS said unemployment fell by 26,000 in the three month period to 2.45 million. The latest figures means the unemployment rate remained flat at 7.7%. However, the number of Britons claiming jobseeker’s allowance (JSA) surged [...]

Bank of Japan lowers economic growth forecasts

Bank of Japan lowers economic growth forecasts

The Bank of Japan (BOJ) has today revised its growth forecast for the economy following the earthquake and tsunami which struck in March. The twin disasters forced the country back into a recession after industrial output suffered a record drop and spending dived as consumer and business confidence took a battering. The Japanese economy, which [...]

US Fed keeps interest rate at record low

US Fed keeps interest rate at record low

The Federal Reserve yesterday opted to keep interest rates at the record low of between 0% and 0.25% and hinted that they will stay this way for the medium-term. US interest rates have now been at this rate since December 2008 in an effort to stimulate economic growth. The US central bank also lowered its [...]

IMF provides assessment for UK economy

IMF provides assessment for UK economy

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has today published its annual assessment for the UK economy and is estimating growth of 1.5% this year, down from 1.7% in April. The estimate is roughly in line with other forecasts for the UK economy with the British Chambers of Commerce expecting growth of 1.3%, the Organisation for Economic [...]

Airline profits continue to be hit by higher oil costs

Airline profits continue to be hit by higher oil costs

The International Air Transport Association (IATA) has again revised its forecasts for the airline industry. The forecasts have been revised on the back of surging oil prices, according to the industry body, and could force some airlines out of business. Many airlines went bust when fuel prices rose in 2008. Oil prices reached a peak [...]

OECD: Bank of England should lift interest rates

OECD: Bank of England should lift interest rates

The Paris-based Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) has today said the Bank of England should lift interest rates to combat stubbornly high inflation. UK economic growth is being hampered by soaring inflation, which is having a major impact on consumer spending. As a result, the Organisation revised its growth forecasts for the UK, [...]

UK borrowing higher than forecast in April

UK borrowing higher than forecast in April

The Office for National Statistics (ONS) has today revealed UK public sector borrowing was higher than expected last month, due to a decline in tax receipts. According to the ONS, public sector borrowing was £10 billion in April, compared with £7.3 billion last year. Last year’s figure was boosted by £3.5 billion by the tax [...]

US housing starts dive in April

US housing starts dive in April

The Commerce Department has today revealed US housing starts slumped in April – much worse than forecast. Housing starts dived 10.6% in the month to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 523,000 units, analysts had expected an annual rate of 563,000. In the meantime, applications for building permits, a barometer of future home construction, also [...]

Japanese catastrophes and Arab unrest leads to slowdown in air travel

Japanese catastrophes and Arab unrest leads to slowdown in air travel

The International Air Transport Association (IATA) has today reported a slump in premium air travel, attributed to the Japanese earthquake and tsunami and the political unrest in Libya and the Middle East. Passengers travelling business or first class on international routes were 2.9% higher on an annual basis in March, compared with a 7.8% rise [...]

Bank of Japan leaves interest rates on hold

Bank of Japan leaves interest rates on hold

As widely expected, the Bank of Japan (BoJ) has today left interest rates in the range of zero to 0.1%, in a bid to boost the economy following the twin disasters which hit the north-east part of the country last month. The country is battling to restore calm after an 8.9 magnitude earthquake and tsunami [...]

South Korea lifts inflation forecast

South Korea lifts inflation forecast

The Bank of Korea has lifted its inflation forecast for the 2011 year as food and oil prices rise. Inflationary pressures are rife in Asia and many central banks have opted to hike interest rates in an attempt to combat rising prices. The latest figures from Statistics Korea showed the consumer price index rose by [...]

Japanese Government downgrades growth amid twin disasters

Japanese Government downgrades growth amid twin disasters

Following the 8.9 magnitude earthquake and tsunami on 11 March, the Japanese Government has today downgraded its growth forecast for the economy. The twin disasters have caused billions of pounds worth of damage and is set to impact on the country’s economic growth. As a result, the Japanese Government has downgraded its assessment of the [...]

German analyst and investor confidence dives in April

German analyst and investor confidence dives in April

The Zew economic sentiment index has revealed German analyst and investor confidence fell more than forecast in April – the second consecutive monthly drop. The index, which measures expectations of economic activity over the next six months, plunged to 7.6 from 14.1 points in March. Analysts had expected the index to hover around the 10 [...]

Rising oil and inflation pose threat to global recovery

Rising oil and inflation pose threat to global recovery

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has today said while the global economy is recovering, challenges remain. The challenges the global economy face are rising oil prices amid the ongoing civil unrest in Libya and the Middle East. Inflationary pressures also pose a threat to economic growth – particularly in Asia, the IMF said in its [...]

NIESR estimates 0.7% growth for UK for Q1

NIESR estimates 0.7% growth for UK for Q1

Influential think tank, the National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR), has today suggested the UK economy recovered in the first quarter of the year after bad weather conditions led to a shock contraction in the final quarter of last year. The economy contracted by 0.5% in the October to December period after the [...]

OBR reviews growth, borrowing, inflation and unemployment

OBR reviews growth, borrowing, inflation and unemployment

The Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) has today delivered its forecasts for British public borrowing, economic growth, inflation and unemployment. The independent OBR, which was set up by the coalition Government to assess the state of public finances, lowered its 2011 economic growth forecast to 1.7% from its previous estimate of 2.1%. The latest estimate [...]

UK public borrowing higher than forecast in February

UK public borrowing higher than forecast in February

The Office for National Statistics (ONS) has today revealed UK public sector borrowing was higher than expected last month. According to the ONS, public sector borrowing was £11.8 billion in February – the highest for the month of February since records began in 1993. Furthermore, the figure was far higher than the £6.9 billion expected [...]

OECD cuts UK growth estimates

OECD cuts UK growth estimates

Influential think tank, the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD), has cut its forecast for UK economic growth. The Organisation estimated growth this year of 1.5%, down from its November prediction of 1.7%. The reduction was attributed to Government spending cuts, which will hamper growth. However, the OECD described the cuts as “ambitious and [...]

Commission raises euro zone economic growth forecast

Commission raises euro zone economic growth forecast

The European Commission today said the 17-member euro zone economy will grow at a better than expected rate this year. The upbeat statement comes as the Commission said there are “better prospects for the global economy” and positive “EU business sentiment.” Economic and Monetary Affairs Commissioner Olli Rehn said the euro zone is expected to [...]